BAI – Senior Manager, Global Oncology Forecasting Lead

JOIN AMGEN’S MISSION OF SERVING PATIENTS

At Amgen, if you feel like you’re part of something bigger, it’s because you are. Our shared mission—to serve patients living with serious illnesses—drives all that we do.

Since 1980, we’ve helped pioneer the world of biotech in our fight against the world’s toughest diseases. With our focus on four therapeutic areas –Oncology, Inflammation, General Medicine, and Rare Disease– we reach millions of patients each year. Amgen is advancing a broad and deep pipeline of medicines to treat cancer, heart disease, inflammatory conditions, rare diseases, and obesity and obesity-related conditions. As a member of the Amgen team, you’ll help make a lasting impact on the lives of patients as we research, manufacture, and deliver innovative medicines to help people live longer, fuller happier lives.

Our award-winning culture is collaborative, innovative, and science based. If you have a passion for challenges and the opportunities that lay within them, you’ll thrive as part of the Amgen team. Join us and transform the lives of patients while transforming your career.

BAI – Senior Manager, Global Oncology Forecasting Lead

What you will do

Let’s do this. Let’s change the world. The Forecasting team at Amgen plays a pivotal role as a strategic partner to commercial leadership, offering data-backed insights crucial for driving commercial success. This role is instrumental in driving commercial success and shaping future strategies for our oncology pipeline assets. The Global Oncology Forecasting Lead will be responsible for leading the forecasting efforts for pipeline assets and diseases within the Global Oncology business unit.

The individual in this role will work with individual product/brand forecasters to develop cross-brand insights, ensure quality/consistency, drive adoption of best practices, coach & mentor junior forecasters, and help distill forecasting analytics into concise, executive worthy strategic recommendations for the brand team. 

As part of these duties, the individual will need to strategically influence and challenge a diverse set of collaborators from Commercial, R&D, Medical, Finance, Manufacturing, Access, and Pricing/Contracting, while proficiently understanding the nuances of the particular disease area and relevant markets.

This role reports to the Senior Director of Global Forecasting and operates within the broader framework of Global Customer Capabilities & Innovation (GCCI).  The role will be responsible for the following:

Strategic Insights and Recommendations:

• Support leadership in identifying actionable strategies to improve commercial potential and prioritize key risks & opportunities.
• Provide informed recommendations & rationale on product go / no-go decisions based on relevant factors such as market conditions, financial projections, and strategic goals.
• Present forecast recommendations and insights to leadership in a concise, straightforward manner, centered on business dynamics rather than modeling nuances.

Communication and Presentation:

• Work with product/brand forecasting leads to deliver transparent presentations articulating the key forecast variables and revenue implications.
• Develop brand & portfolio-level analyses & recommendations appropriate for a VP level audience.
• Use communication and interpersonal skills to help shape key brand decisions and recommended course of action.

Advanced Forecasting Techniques:

• Support & coach forecasters on the development of detailed and advanced forecast models projecting units and revenue for our oncology pipeline products by indication/regions
• Use advanced simulation models (e.g., Monte Carlo analysis, statistical trending) to quantify uncertainty within a brand and across the Global Oncology portfolio
• Leverage in-depth knowledge of diverse pharmaceutical data sources (e.g., LAAD, National Audit Rx, Xponent, Epidemiology data sources, etc.) and their nuances to enhance forecasting approaches and methodologies
• Lead methodology & best practice development and ensure consistency across multiple brand forecasts
• Lead roll-out of novel centralized forecasting platform.

Collaboration and Stakeholder Engagement:

• Collaborate with the broader BAI organization to ensure product/brand forecasters have access to comprehensive insights and analytics relevant to their work
• Improve the depth and accuracy of forecasts by leveraging a broad spectrum of insights across the organization
• Explore AI/ML and automation; identify team capability gaps and build skills
• Owns multi-brand forecasts; challenges entrenched assumptions; drives process improvements across cycles

Process Optimization:

• Drive productivity and efficiency by standardizing forecasting processes where possible
• Oversee deliverables across brands/assets and ensure quality.

What we expect of you

We are all different, yet we all use our unique contributions to serve patients. The forecasting professional we seek is a leader with these qualifications.

Flexible Commuter role to Thousand Oaks office. You will be expected to work on-site 2 days a week.

Basic Qualifications:

Doctorate degree and 2 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience

OR

Master’s degree and 4 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience

OR

Bachelor’s degree and 6 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience

OR

Associate’s degree and 10 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience

OR

High school diploma / GED and 12 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience

Preferred Qualifications:

• Prior experience in oncology
• 6+ years of forecasting, market research, or business analytics experience in the biopharmaceutical or healthcare industries
• Ability to quickly establish credibility with and influence ED/VP level staff
• Strong project management skills—able to organize and complete multiple projects efficiently and on time
• Understanding of the latest developments in the biopharmaceutical industry, and unmet medical needs and opportunities in oncology
• Experience with advanced forecasting techniques, patient based forecast modeling (including dynamic patient flow models), and experience doing analog and uptake curve analysis
• Experience with quantitative techniques including smoothing, regression, time series analysis, and simulation
• Working knowledge of forecasting inputs and structure, global access and reimbursement policies, competitive environment and potential impact on product development and commercialization strategy
• Broad, working knowledge of commonly used biopharmaceutical industry databases such as IQVIA, Symphony Health, Flatiron, EMR, Optum, Truven, McKesson, DRG and other large datasets that require custom analysis and evaluation
• Highly skilled in working collaboratively in a team-based environment and gaining alignment across an organization
• High level of proficiency in Excel, PowerPoint, Word
• Excellent communication skills with the ability to present complex data and insights to both technical and non-technical partners, including senior management
• Ability to interpret and analyze data trends, identify patterns, and make data-driven decisions
• Experience in contributing to the development of long-term business plans based on forecasting insights

What you can expect of us

As we work to develop treatments that take care of others, we also work to care for your professional and personal growth and well-being. From our competitive benefits to our collaborative culture, we’ll support your journey every step of the way.

The expected annual salary range for this role in the U.S. (excluding Puerto Rico) is posted. Actual salary will vary based on several factors including but not limited to, relevant skills, experience, and qualifications.

In addition to the base salary, Amgen offers a Total Rewards Plan, based on eligibility, comprising of health and welfare plans for staff and eligible dependents, financial plans with opportunities to save towards retirement or other goals, work/life balance, and career development opportunities that may include:

• A comprehensive employee benefits package, including a Retirement and Savings Plan with generous company contributions, group medical, dental and vision coverage, life and disability insurance, and flexible spending accounts
• A discretionary annual bonus program, or for field sales representatives, a sales-based incentive plan
• Stock-based long-term incentives
• Award-winning time-off plans
• Flexible work models where possible. Refer to the Work Location Type in the job posting to see if this applies.

Apply now and make a lasting impact with the Amgen team.

careers.amgen.com

In any materials you submit, you may redact or remove age-identifying information such as age, date of birth, or dates of school attendance or graduation. You will not be penalized for redacting or removing this information.

Application deadline

Amgen does not have an application deadline for this position; we will continue accepting applications until we receive a sufficient number or select a candidate for the position.

Sponsorship

Sponsorship for this role is not guaranteed.

As an organization dedicated to improving the quality of life for people around the world, Amgen fosters an inclusive environment of diverse, ethical, committed and highly accomplished people who respect each other and live the Amgen values to continue advancing science to serve patients. Together, we compete in the fight against serious disease.

Amgen is an Equal Opportunity employer and will consider all qualified applicants for employment without regard to race, color, religion, sex, sexual orientation, gender identity, national origin, protected veteran status, disability status, or any other basis protected by applicable law.

We will ensure that individuals with disabilities are provided reasonable accommodation to participate in the job application or interview process, to perform essential job functions, and to receive other benefits and privileges of employment. Please contact us to request accommodation.